2012 Point Guard Palooza

Point Guard List. I’ve also added combo guards to it.

Before we head further, I’d like to explain 3 things.

1. PAWS40 is a stat about 9 box scores. I’ve recently changed it to reflect the lower value defensive rebounds should have.

2. Average NBA level players are now 6 PAWS40 instead of 10 PAWS40

3. Kemba Walker is a 7.5, so keep that in mind of what an average player is.

Name  2011.PAWS40  2010.PAWS40  POS  FT% 2011  FT%.2010  AVG PAWS40  Rank
C.J. McCollum 10.00 7.95 1.50 81.10 84.50 8.98 1
Damian Lillard 10.28 7.03 1.00 88.70 85.70 8.65 2
Jesse Sanders 10.68 6.43 1.00 78.50 75.60 8.55 3
Langston Galloway 7.75 7.70 1.50 78.50 88.70 7.73 4
Nate Wolters 7.28 7.83 1.00 78.30 79.60 7.55 5
Dion Waiters 7.45 NA 1.50 72.90 NA 7.45 6
Reggie Hamilton 7.88 6.83 1.00 87.60 83.90 7.35 7
Michael Dixon 7.35 6.75 1.50 87.90 82.50 7.05 8
Bj Young 6.90 NA 1.50 74.30 NA 6.90 9
Phl Pressey 6.58 NA 1.00 77.50 NA 6.58 10
Scott Machado 8.98 4.13 1.00 81.10 67.50 6.55 11
Matthew Dellavedova 6.30 6.40 1.50 85.70 88.10 6.35 12
Tu Holloway 5.58 6.88 1.00 86.20 87.00 6.23 13
Hugh Greenwood 6.20 NA 1.50 69.40 NA 6.20 14
Kendrick Perry 7.43 4.88 1.00 70.60 67.60 6.15 15
Aaron Craft 6.78 5.53 1.00 71.30 72.70 6.15 16
Ray McCallum 6.18 6.13 1.00 76.60 69.10 6.15 17
Isaiah Canaan 8.20 4.00 1.50 83.70 74.40 6.10 18

1. CJ McCollum

is going back to school. Which is a shame. He is by far the best pg/sg  out there. For some reason, he promised his mother he would grab his journalism degree before making millions of dollars.

2. Damian Willard.

Sacramento 5th pick, Blazers 6th and the Hornets 10th have a need for a PG. He’s shown that he can shoot from range. A great 85% FreeThrow so if anything he can barrel in and grab some fouls.

Cons: He’s one of the lowest rank assist PGs in his class, however. At the end of the day, you want buckets. And value. Last I heard, Ty Lawson was pretty good.

3. Jesse Sanders

He’s had a phenomenal senior year. His other years are also above average. He’s got a weakfish 75% free throw average but I think so did Lin.

Unfortunately he’s got very low steals and blocks–below average for his position so don’t expect tony allen. Here’s a far more detailed report on him.

I think he’ll be good. Not kryie Irving( 11-12 PAWS40), but pretty good.

4. The 7 PAWS crowd.

Galloway, Wolters, Waiters, Hamilton, Dixon

I don’t know much about them other than the fact that Waiters has already declared himself for the draft. He played less than 20 minutes in his freshman year so the chart above doesn’t have his 2010 data. It usually means he’s done poorly. A quick calculation shows a 5.6 paws. Slightly below average. I like Galloway and Dixon though. Improvement year to year plus historically good free throw shooting.

5. The Exceptions

If you like gambling, you’ll like Machado. One breakout year. You’re effectively betting on ONE breakout year.

Machado and Canaan. Machado went to Brazil. Came back and became a Monster. Because he was not hot stuff his first couple of years. Supposedly he’s much fitter now. But it’s hard to argue with his score.  He went from a 60% free throw % to a monster 80%.

Canaan’s going back to school. Someone obviously told him that he can’t possibly grab a spot this year. He probably can’t. But he’s a great tiny shooter.

That’s it for the Point Guards of 2012.

Next week I’ll be doing the Shooting Guards of 2012. Stay tuned, toothslayers!

Reference:

List of Lottery Teams

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