It basically takes 9 of the box score stats and boils it down to one number. I prefer to use the Per 40 minutes data.
I use Google Docs to collect the data from draftexpress.com and push out the raw WS40 data.
Please disregard the averages and the formula. It has since been updated.
Here is the link to the updated math. (You can probably ignore everything else and just read this one. But since it’s based on the Win Score v1.0, you may have to read the other links on this post to understand where the stat is coming from.)
Here’s the math that I use for everything.
Win score = PTS + OREB + 1/2* DREB + STL + ½*BLK + ½*AST – FGA – ½*FTA – TO – ½*PF
NCAA 2010-2011 RAWS48 Averages
Power Forwards: 6.956
Small Forwards: 4.835
Shooting Guards: 4.104
Point Guards: 4.851
Overall Average: 5.729
The NBA average PAWS48 is 6. But I like to peg last year’s disappointments as cutoff marks for analysis. Kemba Walker was a 7.5, etc. etc.
I should really be comparing NBA Draft Prospects to AVERAGE NBA WS Score! James Brocato of wagesofwins.com gave me his results.
(SPRAWS = Schedule Strength, Position, and Rebound Adjusted Win Score)
Overall Avg: 7.1819
Because Draftexpress.com has data in Per 40 min. instead of the per 48, it’s important to add [1+ (8/48) ] to the base stats. Or 16.6% to each base stat. Or you can just skip that and add .3 to everyone’s PAWS40 score. I’m just going to use the WS40 data but remember to convert it to PRAWS48 before you convert to PRAWS48. 🙂
PRAWS40*1.166 = PRAWS48
WP48 = -0.07898 + 0.031888*PRAWS48
Yes yes. confusing. It’s not my fault Draft Express doesn’t give stats in per 48.
Please twitter bballpants if this post is too confusing.