The new NBA season starts off with a bang.
Every month (or week, depending on the news), I’ll post the most interesting things that I think aren’t discussed.
Some surprising things.
Each POINT will have a follow up idea.
POINT 1: NYK. Wages of Wins placed New York ahead of everyone in the east in their projections. Small sample size but judging by the initial New York dominance, their projections seem to be spot on. But the Knicks were so dysfunctional last year! What happened?
Turns out, Ronnie Brewer is really really good. I SQLed >.150WP48 pure shooting guards, required them play at least 1400 minutes, while still being available for the 2012-13 season.
Here is the list of shooting guards ranked by their tiers.
Always consistent GREAT: Wade, Brewer
Mostly RECENTLY consistent GREAT: Thabo Sefolosha, Ray Allen, Mike Dunleavy, Harden, Landry Fields.
Stopped BEING CONSISTENTLY GREAT A LONG TIME AGO: Kobe, Brandon Roy, Shane Battier, Mike Miller, Manu Ginobili
CONSISTENTLY GOOD ENOUGH GUYS: JJ Reddick, Jason Richardson, Delonte West, Keith Bogans
NEW AND GREAT: Harden, Landry Fields
SUPER INCONSISTENT DORKS: JR Smith, Daequan Cook
*You can do what I did by grabbing the data here.*
So by grabbing Jason Kidd, Felton and Prigioni, they’ve got ample production at the PG spot through all 48 minutes of the game, unlike last year where the dropoff from Lin to Bibby was painfully apparent.
Brewer and JR SMith at shooting guard means consistent production as well. Brewer, from my data, has been good for the past 4 years. Obviously he isn’t as great as Wade, but he’s just as consistent and PRODUCES in the upper echelon of SGs. And some nights, JR Smith might even show up to play. Cuz he’s random like that.
I haven’t seen the other positions yet but I’m sure Glen Grunwald has filled the roster in the same fashion.
POINT 2: The MAGIC.Why are you making a big deal out of the first few games? Small sample size much? Yes yes.
I know. But it’s interesting to predict stuff. Like how everyone in the world predicted the Magic to lose a lot of games. But it seems the rest of the eastern league has imploded. There’s a lot to be said about chemistry. Maybe Glen Davis’ charm is greater than his girth. Eh. Still, I don’t see how the Magic can keep winning. They just aren’t good.
In the post I wrote that I considered Harden to be a top tier SG in the league. He did take the crown away from Wade last year and the data all points to him having another phenomenal statline this year. I’m bullish. There is a terribly short list of good shooting guards in the league. The cliff that divides Wade and Harden from the rest is a vast chasm.
POINT 4: LAKESHOW.
Shaq and Charles Barkley blame the Princeton Offense for Laker woes. Well, Coach Nick of Bballbreakdown(no relation) posted a great video about it. Go watch it. I feel the same way he does. I love watching the Princeton Offense. It works.
Next Week: Eastern Conference General Manager Draft and Trade Grades!