Methodology:I will be using Win Score 40, Unadjusted For Position Or Rebounds.
Why? Because I really don’t think 3 or 4 spots that defensive rebounds give you mean much.
It’s a lot of work and Draftexpress already has the WS40 calculated.
I will be taking the career average ws40 of each draft as long as they play 20 minutes+ @ 10 Games Played+
Decent sample size is a must for Per Minute stats.
Really Funky Stats
Because I’m a sadist, I’m going to multiply ws40 by 16.6% and say that’s ws48. Then I’m going to turn ws48 into wp48 using the formula given over by wages of wins
Juicy parts first, dull experiment details last. Here we go. Who picks the best Win Score on average?
|.||.||Warriors||Bob Myers *||dec 2011||NA||NA||#N/A||#N/A||0|
|.||.||Suns||Lance Blanks||August 2010||14||4||11.58||1.58||1|
|.||.||Nets||billy king||july 2010||12.55||4.75||10.33||0.33||2|
|.||.||Cavs||Dave Griffin||September 2010||10.78||3.38||9.69||-0.31||4|
|.||.||Rockets||Daryl Morey||May 2007||9.65||3.13||9.06||-0.94||8|
|.||.||Bucks||John Hammond||April 2008||9.56||3.25||8.9||-1.1||10|
|.||.||Piston||Joe Dumars||May 1999||8.76||3||8.72||-1.28||27|
|.||.||wizards||ernie grunfield||june 2003||8.38||2.89||8.56||-1.44||18|
|.||.||Bulls||Gar Forman||May 2009||8.92||3.17||8.55||-1.46||6|
- POOMBA means the guy in charge of drafting. Interim means when they began and ended their job.
- POS means the average of positon of the Chosen Ones.
- PAWS40 normalizes the WS scores so you can compare PGs and C using the same score.
- PONA10 means the NBA average is 10 and tells you exactly how many points under or over that NBA average you are.
- # of Chosen is the number of decisions each Poomba has drafted.
Turns out, none of them are any good. Lottery teams are lottery teams because they generally are bad. Most of these guys were hired only recently. Neil Olshey used to be an actor. His stay at the Clippers was really bouncy. How can you attribute the Clippers’ draft choices to him when you don’t know how much power he had? If he had real power, he probably wouldn’t have left!
Bobcats’ Rich Cho was a GM before but he couldnt do anything. He had less than one year in the seat!
The one with a high(er) statistical sample yet chose the highest was the Raptors with a whopping .1 over average. Chances are their going to choose someone average. Man has a penchant for choosing forwards as well.
The Kings love choosing guards and young ones too. Geoff has chosen 35, but half of those I had to throw out because they had only high school stats. NONE of them ever panned out. If I had included them, Geoff would probably have one of the lowest grades by far.
The Cavs are a strange case. Sometimes they choose wisely, but when they choose poorly, it counteracts their good choices. Overall, they’ve become a negative despite having Kyrie Irving.
But the worst of the Bunch is Larry Bird! The wizards and the bulls have drafted new players worse than the wizards with respect to Win Score.